sophie_paris said:Whatever the answer turns out to be, the method for getting there is the same: state the assumption, do the arithmetic in public, and invite the…
That is right, and it stops being right at the edges. The general case is well behaved; the interesting cases in this thread are all at the boundary where the general case breaks.
amy_econ_NJ said:Agreed, with the usual condition: that holds for the average and this board is a collection of individuals.
This answered a question I did not know how to ask. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
sophie_paris said:Whatever the answer turns out to be, the method for getting there is the same: state the assumption, do the arithmetic in public, and invite the…
Pushing back on sophie_paris here. Pushing back on the anecdote-stacking. Twenty people reporting the same thing is twenty samples from the same self-selected pool, not twenty independent confirmations.
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