jason_paloalto said:One practical note: write down what you did and when, before you need it.
Agreed, with the usual condition: that holds for the average and this board is a collection of individuals. A population claim and a personal prediction are different things and get quoted interchangeably.
jason_paloalto said:One practical note: write down what you did and when, before you need it.
This answered a question I did not know how to ask. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
From the other side of the consultation, briefly. It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false. If nothing would look different, it is not a claim about the world and no amount of discussion will settle it.
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Browse GL BiochemPharmHunterJen said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
Mine went the same way, slower. Posting only so the count is not one.
PharmHunterJen said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. Whatever the answer turns out to be, the method for getting there is the same: state the assumption, do the arithmetic in public, and invite the correction. That is slower than asserting, and it is the only version that survives being wrong.