pete_nash said:The useful move here is to separate what is established from what is widely repeated.
Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not. That is answerable; arguing about which sounds more plausible is not.
One concrete data point for the thread. For anyone reading later: the numbers in this thread are worth checking against a primary source before you act on them, including mine. Half the figures circulating in this community trace back to a secondary summary that dropped a qualifier.
Following on from pete_nash — and this may be the naive question:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
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View ResultsTrialTracker_MD said:For anyone reading later: the numbers in this thread are worth checking against a primary source before you act on them, including mine.
Pushing back on TrialTracker_MD here. Pushing back on the anecdote-stacking. Twenty people reporting the same thing is twenty samples from the same self-selected pool, not twenty independent confirmations.
Closing the loop on my own question.
Coming back a few months on. It held. Nothing dramatic to report, which is the report.